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  • Veolia: Dividend Dynamo or the Next Blowup?

    Dividend investing is a tried-and-true strategy for generating strong, steady returns in economies both good and bad. But as corporate America’s slew of dividend cuts and suspensions over the past few years has demonstrated, it’s not enough simply to buy a high yield. You also need to make sure those payouts are sustainable.

    Let’s examine how Veolia (NYSE: VE  ) stacks up. In this series, we consider four critical factors investors should examine in every dividend stock. We’ll then tie it all together to look at whether Veolia is a dividend dynamo or a disaster in the making.

    1. Yield
    First and foremost, dividend investors like a large forward yield. But if a yield gets too high, it may reflect investors’ doubts about the payout’s sustainability. If investors had confidence in the stock, they’d be buying it, driving up the share price and shrinking the yield.

    Veolia yields a massive 12.9%, considerably higher than the S&P 500’s 2.1%.

    2. Payout ratio
    The payout ratio might be the most important metric for judging dividend sustainability. It compares the amount of money a company paid out in dividends last year to the earnings it generated. A ratio that’s too high — say, greater than 80% of earnings — indicates that the company may be stretching to make payouts it can’t afford, even when its dividend yield doesn’t seem particularly high.

    Veolia has a moderate payout ratio of 76%.

    3. Balance sheet
    The best dividend payers have the financial fortitude to fund growth and respond to whatever the economy and competitors throw at them. The interest coverage ratio indicates whether a company is having trouble meeting its interest payments — any ratio less than 5 is a warning sign. Meanwhile, the debt-to-equity ratio is a good measure of a company’s total debt burden.

    Let’s examine how Veolia stacks up next to its peers:


    Debt-to-Equity Ratio

    Interest Coverage

    Veolia 207% 2 times
    Waste Management 154% 4 times
    Clean Harbors 64% 6 times
    Republic Services 92% 3 times

    Source: S&P Capital IQ.

    Veolia has a fairly high debt burden, but that’s not all that unusual among its industry, as we can see from looking at its peers. That’s because water management and waste disposal are generally stable, capital-intensive businesses, meaning these companies have the ability and the need to carry a fair bit of debt.

    4. Growth
    A large dividend is nice; a large growing dividend is even better. To support a growing dividend, we also want to see earnings growth. Over the past five years, Veolia’s earnings have cratered, largely due to the ongoing European economic crisis (Veolia does the vast majority of its business in Europe, particularly France), while its U.S. peers have been coping with the downturn relatively well:


    5-Year Annual Earnings-per-Share growth

    5-Year Annual Dividend-per-Share Growth

    Waste Management (1%) 9%
    Clean Harbors 14% 0%
    Republic Services (2%) 16%

    Source: S&P Capital IQ.

    The Foolish bottom line
    Veolia’s struggling to handle the ongoing European economic crisis. With such a massive yield, it could very well turn out to be a dividend dynamo, albeit a higher-risk one. If you’re looking for other great, perhaps safer, dividend stocks, I suggest you check out “Secure Your Future With 11 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks,” a special report from the Motley Fool about some serious dividend dynamos. I invite you to grab a free copy to discover everything you need to know about these 11 generous dividend payers – simply click here.

    Yahoo! Finance: Waste Management Industry News

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